Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Wed Oct 07 21:41:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some counters. It's Trump's adopted home state. Democrats have lost a lot of close elections there. It feels subjectively MAGA-y, I suppose. But what if Biden's gains with seniors hold up but Trump's gains with Hispanics don't? Suddenly FL could be the tipping point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think you could construct an argument why Florida is a good state for Biden. He seems to be doing much better than Clinton with older white voters. It has a lot of self-ID'ed independents, a Biden strength. He did well there in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Florida's also had a lot of issues with COVID, with the 3rd highest number of cases per capita in the country, and Biden was polling quite well there in June/July when it was going through a huge surge in cases. So if COVID is now more central again, that could have some effects. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated