Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Tue Oct 06 11:55:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure people realize how much poll results will vary through chance alone. https://t.co/LnEazd9iNY https://t.co/HvBx2lRFEn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

She's obviously got decent chances but appointed incumbents generally underperform and I think voters are *relatively* good at sniffing out a fake, and this is not among the more subtle ones. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, it's pretty clear that Biden has gained ground, from +7 before to +8 or probably more like +9 once we've thrown today's polls into our average, but with a +8 or a +9 you're going to get your occasional +3s (TIPP) or +16s (CNN) and that's OK. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020 Hibernated