Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Oct 02 01:38:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are lots of philosophical and technical questions about what a polling average is supposed to represent exactly, especially after potential inflection points. My guess in the short run is Biden's lead is more likely to increase than decrease in our average, but we'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The two fully post-debate polls are Biden +13 (Change Research) and Biden +9 (Ipsos). He's also had some strong national polls that were *conducted* before the debate but were *published* yesterday or today after the debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm sure the epidemiologists on here will correct me if I'm wrong, but my understanding is that it can take several days for a positive result after a potential exposure, see e.g.: https://t.co/lm6kEItXw2 — PolitiTweet.org

Trump’s schedule tomorrow is packed — not just the Florida campaign rally, but also a roundtable with supporters at… https://t.co/hEc9Exo6Oy

Posted Oct. 2, 2020 Hibernated