
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Big fall in disposable income reported in August, which may reflect stimulus payments lapsing. This is one of the variables in our economic index, which still gets a small amount of weight in our forecast, so hurt Trump's win probability a bit. https://t.co/hQc3zPXZBQ https://t.co/rrTFUMyNQH — PolitiTweet.org