Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 30 18:05:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you were to treat the 0-to-10 scale as tantamount to a 0-to-100% chance of voting for the candidate — certainly a shortcut, so don't treat this as a proper horse-race poll — this group of voters moved from Biden 50-38 pre-debate to Biden 52-37 afterward, i.e. a 3-point swing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We asked the same voters both before and after the debate their chances of voting for Biden and Trump in a 0 to 10 scale. Not *quite* a horse race question, though close to it. https://t.co/XiSHoYfkCU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Much more from my colleague Laura Bronner here. Again, the big theme is the stability of the race. But based on this poll, the race doesn't seem super likely to tighten as a result of the debate, and Biden's lead plausibly could widen. https://t.co/gyzS7wqAuZ — PolitiTweet.org

Judging something like last night's debate in terms of "winners" or "losers" is, perhaps, overly simplistic -- but… https://t.co/XkWbyt2sC5

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated