Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 30 04:09:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Storylines like: 1. Could Trump win the Electoral College despite losing the popular vote by 5 points? 2. Could there be a huge polling error in Trump's favor? 3. Could Trump steal the election? Are legit things for Dems to worry about! But also a sign of how bad Trump's doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonmladd Well, we're doing our own poll also, but the polls out so far seem to suggest I was right in gauging the public's reaction instead of the "both sides were equally bad" framing. https://t.co/PJAAdYO2pu — PolitiTweet.org

first CNN poll of debate watchers: Biden won 60% Trump won 28%

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nobody, including the Trump campaign, seems to be countenancing the possibility that Trump could win the popular vote. And perhaps after tonight they increasingly won't countenance the possibility that he could bring the swing state polls into a rough tie by Election Day, either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2020 Hibernated