Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 29 14:06:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of that 20-25% of the time that Trump comes back (I can't believe I have to say this but note: our probabilities don't account for the chance that the election would be stolen) I'd think the debates are a pretty important part of the story. They may be his best chance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump still has decent comeback chances (20-25%) but some of the recent chatter about the election coming down to the Supreme Court seems to imply that we're headed for a photo finish, which is not (necessarily) true. Biden has a solid lead right now. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/E6C8crnlDr — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Aside from the debates, the issues that are likely to dominate the final month of the campaign (see below) are not great for Trump. He probably needs to raise voter doubts about Biden and hope for a lesser-of-two-evils election like 2016. https://t.co/yTCyaSF1OB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2020 Hibernated