Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Sun Sep 27 22:15:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No particular instinct for how much the Trump tax news will resonate with rank-and-file voters. May depend on how much the Biden campaign chooses to emphasize it. There is a damaging headline for Trump (that he paid only $750) which is sometimes lacking in these sorts of stories. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @Graniteprof He's net -5 on approval but net -9 on personal favorability in that poll. I think I've seen claims that favorability actually trends to predict the horse race better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Small data point, but The Daily aired some fairly long interviews with undecided voters the other day, and more of them than you might think touched upon the personal qualities of the candidates. Worth a listen. https://t.co/DvH9xw0nMA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 27, 2020 Hibernated