Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 24 23:52:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In a sign of how boring and stable our forecast has been this year, only two states have "flipped" at any point... Ohio and North Carolina have gone back and forth a couple of times. Biden is also now favored in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, when Trump was favored before. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, if you look at our current forecast in each state (treating it as a binary rather than probabilistic) it's VERY close to Obama's 2008 map, with Biden adding AZ but losing IA and IN (and Iowa is very competitive). https://t.co/0P32HvOLgq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More than half of Trump's wins now involve winning the Electoral College but not the popular vote. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/AVOmoC4aUY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated