Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 24 19:43:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Then there are some further complications around early in-person votes and provisional ballots. Many states will have a "blue shift" but some could have a "red shift" instead. In general, it will just be pretty weird. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, there's going to be a lot of variability from state to state, depending on whether 1) mail ballots must be RECEIVED by Election Day or merely postmarked by Election Day and 2) whether states count mail votes before/after/simultaneously with in-person votes. — PolitiTweet.org

I really wish some would stop claiming that mail ballot totals are not the 1st reported on election night bc in man… https://t.co/Dgp7MF0cPV

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You could also have states where some mail ballots are counted ahead of time, giving Biden a big lead early in the PM, then Election Day votes are counted, swinging the race to Trump later, then late-arriving mail votes are counted, swinging it back to Biden a couple days later. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated