Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Sep 24 13:30:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, state polls have been a bit better than national polls for Biden, implying about an 8-point popular vote win. Although, Biden's margin in our national polling average has bounced back up to 7.4 points; there was a bigger gap a week or two ago. https://t.co/zNA6qbibgm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other news, here's a bit from me on what you can learn about the *national* race from state polls: https://t.co/L7bcUHUGzv — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is another reason why people need to think carefully when writing about the chance that Trump will steal the election. IMO, there is a legitimate threat. However, the threat itself can be used to create ambiguity and sew doubt about the outcome, and possibly reduce turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Lots of polling shows that Democrats are less likely to vote if they believe Trump is just going to steal the elect… https://t.co/R5T9VbAn8n

Posted Sept. 24, 2020 Hibernated