Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 23 21:02:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @zackbeauchamp @rickhasen Yeah, a lot of COVID stuff definitely comes to mind here! Including that some things are more likely if people aren't on guard about them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I don't think we're disagreeing at all. People should be more worried about 1%, 2%, 5%, 10%, 15% probabilities, etc. when the consequences are very bad, in this case basically the end of our democracy as we know it. — PolitiTweet.org

You come at it like a statistician, which makes sense. I think of myself more like an engineer at a nuclear reactor… https://t.co/Vqafh0hpKg

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Very much agree w/this thread. I think what's been annoying me is that it's time for clear-headed, fairly precise thinking about exactly what mechanisms Trump could use to steal the election and what the checks might be. There's been some of that—but also a lot of doom-porn. — PolitiTweet.org

I mean, this is right in a sense. Lots of folks (imo) conflating chance of illegitimate attempts to subvert the ele… https://t.co/4jl1XQ2O1x

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated