Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 23 20:36:36 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@emptywheel @jeffhauser @rickhasen The whole point of my tweet was that people are starting to treat a plausible and very worrisome possibility as a near-certitude when that isn't warranted. Maybe you don't care about that distinction, but I think it's an important one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser @rickhasen So what would you say the odds are that Trump will successfully steal the election, to the nearest 5%? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I don't think we're disagreeing at all. People should be more worried about 1%, 2%, 5%, 10%, 15% probabilities, etc. when the consequences are very bad, in this case basically the end of our democracy as we know it. — PolitiTweet.org

You come at it like a statistician, which makes sense. I think of myself more like an engineer at a nuclear reactor… https://t.co/Vqafh0hpKg

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated