Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 23 14:26:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 2014, about 16% of people that Pew deemed as likely voters — people who said they were nearly certain to vote and met various other fairly stringent criteria — did not wind up voting. https://t.co/zfWq7KLLvN https://t.co/Vh1XlsNs3P — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if Democrats were to discourage mail voting when they'd otherwise encourage it, out of fears that Trump will use it as a pretext to steal the election, that itself could make Trump's re-election more likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, 2014 was a low-turnout midterm, so the percentage in a presidential election will be lower (perhaps 5-10%). But generally speaking, you do whatever you can to make sure that someone votes. A lot of people who are quite certain they'll vote don't wind up doing so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2020 Hibernated