Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 22 14:59:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 Yeah, if Dems are up to 52+ Senate seats, they're very likely to also have claimed the presidency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And the answer is ... maybe! We'll see. But for Dems to take those actions likely requires a fairly emphatic victory (say, 52+ Senate seats + the Presidency), the odds of which are <50% even though Democrats are favored to take the Senate (a lot of their wins are narrow). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FYI, we were encountering some edge-cases in our Senate model where if a new poll came along in a race that hadn't been polled for a while, the model would sometimes reduce the amount of weight it applied to polls vs. fundamentals & other factors, which doesn't make much sense. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated