Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 21 15:13:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of pretty good polls in Senate races for Democrats this weekend and this AM. They're now up to 61% to take the Senate in the Deluxe version of our model, 68% in Classic, 71% in Lite. It's very competitive but we're getting into "Leans D" territory. https://t.co/eev4w6wba9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One basic thing about the Supreme Court pick is it reminds voters Republicans have a lot of power...not necessarily what you want voters to be thinking about if you're a GOP incumbent running at a time when Congress is unpopular and folks are unhappy with the direction of the US. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A problem with this is that the GOP is willing to trade off electoral success for big victories on policies and judges. So their advantage in the Senate translates to shifting policy well to the right of what the average voter would prefer, not necessarily winning every election. — PolitiTweet.org

It's a "lasting" disadvantage that has currently lasted for six years (since the last Dem Senate majority) or ten (… https://t.co/X30Plmie1N

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated