Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 21 12:30:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia's a state where it's a bit hard to tell what's going on from the polling. Trump had a couple of strong polls there immediately after the RNC. But since then, two Democratic internals show Biden leads and two non-partisan polls show Biden +1 and Trump +1, respectively. https://t.co/YZ98mfuRZd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@artfcity People should be freaked out to some extent! But they should be freaked out because it's a small probability that is *plausible enough* and would be *very, very bad*, not because it's a large probability. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

All of it amounts to a 1-point lead for Trump in our average, about what you'd expect. (Keep in mind that our average applies a house effects adjustment to internal polls.) Still, between POTUS and the *2* Senate races, there's a lot to poll here. https://t.co/VYrvEGxHXu https://t.co/wcR3n4LYEV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2020 Hibernated