Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2021

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Sun Sep 20 20:59:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Part of it is that as stodgy mainstream media centrists have tended to drive the political conversation less and edgy liberal/conservative activists have tended to drive it more, folks have gone from overrating the electoral benefits of moderation to underrating them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our research has found that voting against your party actually is helpful electorally ... voters still pick up on that signal. The high rates of party-line voting for Ernst, Tillis etc. are a big part of why they're in trouble. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@artfcity People should be freaked out to some extent! But they should be freaked out because it's a small probability that is *plausible enough* and would be *very, very bad*, not because it's a large probability. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated