Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Sat Sep 19 00:33:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just went for a long bike ride when the news broke and I don't have any cold takes yet, let alone hot ones, in case you came to this account looking for one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We find that partisan polls exaggerate their party's standing by ~3 points in the presidential race on average, so our model will treat that more like a Biden +3, which is pretty close to our current forecast there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I suppose my prior is that the public is gonna be like 40-50 against confirming anyone before the election. Low confidence on this one though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020 Hibernated