Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 19:46:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @jonathanvswan: exactly. polling errors only tend to get penalized in one direction https://t.co/8bB8YG3V50 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At the risk of being slightly redundant... it's mid-September and Biden leads by 5+ points in states totaling 290 electoral votes (he needs 270 to win). That's not a foolproof position by any means, but it's a pretty decent one. There's a bit of give there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @conorsen @EconBerger One interesting theory is that house-district polls of the presidential race might be less subject to herding, because nobody gives a shit if you get the answer right (unless it's ME-2 or NE-2) so there are no perverse incentives. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated