Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 17:04:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other feature of the polling landscape right now is the big gap between PA/AZ and Biden +5 and FL/NC at Biden +2/+1 with nothing in between. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, our model is still showing a discrepancy here. Biden has lost a point or two in our national polling average since the conventions. But his state polling is roughly as strong as pre-convention. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/g3LxlXk3PZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if you take that at face value, Biden's m.o. is basically "find 270 EV from Clinton states + MI + WI + PA + AZ + Nebraska-2 and anything else you win is a bonus". Not at all a bad position, but it does diminish the importance of FL and NC a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated