Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 18 13:48:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Is the Electoral College / popular vote gap decreasing? Maybe a *bit* but our model still shows a 2.3-point gap (favoring Trump) between the popular vote and the tipping-point state margin in our average simulation. Still, that's smaller than 2.9 points earlier this month. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Arizona polls looking strong for Biden lately and Florida polls looking weak (though he maintains a narrow lead), a person does wonder which camp Texas would fall into. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This gap had gotten as low as 1.4 points at points in June and July when Biden's polling was stronger in Florida. Although Biden has had plenty of strong state polls lately, they mostly haven't been in FL or PA, which are pretty important for this calculation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated