Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Fri Sep 18 13:20:34 +0000 2020

Likes

444

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We don't want to over-emphasize small changes in our forecast and a Trump second term remains plausible, but Biden's win probability has crept up a bit. That reflects the combination of the passage of time and a steady stream of mostly-strong-for-Biden state polls. https://t.co/3md8BsSyaq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't want to encourage anyone to do national polls at the expense of state polls, but the national polls are a fairly weird mix right now. Trump has pulled within 6.8 points in our national polling average but his swing state polls have mostly been bad. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/zJb0NaHEkT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's *possible*, I suppose, that something different is happening in the swing states than elsewhere, perhaps because of Biden's advertising advantage. But ... usually this stuff is noise or reflects the mix of pollsters that happen to be active at any given time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated