Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 16 15:01:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The USC poll, which was decently "bouncy" in both 2016 and so far this year despite constantly surveying the same panel of voters, is an interesting counterpoint to the "all polling movement is just nonresponse bias" crowd. — PolitiTweet.org

One of the few points of good news for Trump right now is the trendline on the USC tracking poll, which has narrowe… https://t.co/c1Ks6urOhl

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @conorsen To bring this full circle, I think there are things it may make sense for governments to do for shorter periods of time that wouldn't make sense to do for an indefinite period, so the notion that "we'll still have to do this after a vaccine" can weaken the case for restrictions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved Yeah, there's no special treatment. I agree that the panels violate some of the assumptions we make about how polls behave, although for practical purposes I don't think it should have much of an effect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated