Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 10, 2021

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Tue Sep 15 22:58:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes Yeah. There was that stretch in September, another in July around the time of the RNC, and then of course it tightened at the end. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Granted, you saw fewer of those leads in MI and WI than some others (they also weren't polled a ton). But still quite different from this year, where you'll get the occasional tie but it's rare to see Trump leads from high-quality polls in the half-dozen or so key battlegrounds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Perhaps more important, Biden could survive a 2016 (3-ish point in battleground states) polling error and probably hold on. Take 3 points off Biden's current polling margin in each state, and he's still ahead in PA/AZ (narrowly) and MI/WI/MN (more comfortably) and FL is a tossup. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated