Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 10, 2021

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Tue Sep 15 22:32:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People forget that there were several streches in 2016 (one of them was in mid-September) where the presidency polled as a very close race including polls that showed Trump leads in the tipping-point states fairly often. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes 1a. Pennsylvania's historically been redder than MI/WI/MN and so it's mean-reversion. 1b. More non-college white voters in MI/WI/MN than PA, probably Biden's greatest strength relative to Clinton (well, unless polls are wrong again). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Granted, you saw fewer of those leads in MI and WI than some others (they also weren't polled a ton). But still quite different from this year, where you'll get the occasional tie but it's rare to see Trump leads from high-quality polls in the half-dozen or so key battlegrounds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated