Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 15 19:19:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that Europe is having a fairly big second COVID wave* and being pretty nonchalant about it should maybe cause people to revise their priors on how long Americans will tolerate restrictions. https://t.co/Au1AsbZzvY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've had years (notably including 2016) where our model was more bullish on Republicans than the consensus, and others where it was more so on Democrats. With your polls, by contrast, it's always easy to predict what they'll say ahead of time. That's a really bad sign. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Though importantly, Europe is having far fewer deaths than in the spring, though it may just be a matter of time before that changes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated