Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Sep 13 18:21:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not *that* uncommon for someone to run for the Senate in back-to-back elections (i.e. 2 years apart) but if McSally loses again…is there any other person who's been responsible for *both of a state's seats flipping to the other party* within 2 years? https://t.co/vhl0hY5zEj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not sure it can be emphasized enough how different the map would look if FL had gone the way of VA (i.e. being reliably blue in close elections). Wouldn't have saved Clinton in 16, but would make Biden's map a lot more safe/robust this year, plus Dems likely have 2 more senators. — PolitiTweet.org

Conversely you have the dog that didn’t bark in Florida where after the 2000 election it was conventional to believ… https://t.co/wgaAtpqyHy

Posted Sept. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since we officially launched our forecast on Aug. 12 (numbers before that reflect backfill), Arizona is the state where Biden's winning odds have improved the most, from 55% to 67%. Next after that are MN (↑ from 72 to 83) and WI (↑ from 70 to 78). https://t.co/TdCOi1WkWL https://t.co/ZbAic3GFyu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 14, 2020 Hibernated