Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 11 17:53:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So 3 of the past 11 elections (2008; 1996 and 1976) featured late polling swings bigger than Biden's current lead in the *popular* vote and a couple of others were close. — PolitiTweet.org

The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 53 days until E-Day: 2020: Biden+7.5* 2016: Clinton+1.7 2012: Obam… https://t.co/9np2eratgD

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @NickRiccardi I also think people's patience with closures will continue to erode over time. So that's another reason to frontload measures even if you have to put an explicit time frame on them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So we finally got an Oregon poll and it's Biden +12. Actually not such a spectacular result for him given a +7 or +8 lead nationally, although if that national lead falls apart Biden has far bigger problems than Oregon. https://t.co/XHnxcVePJa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated