Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 4, 2021

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Thu Sep 10 22:40:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Then again, if Biden is winning the sorts of voters you need to win ME-2, he's probably also winning the Midwest + PA, in which case the scenarios where it matters probably won't come into play. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model's prior in ME-2 is pretty pro-Trump, but the polls are starting to move it to more of a toss-up. If Biden is improving relative to Clinton with older working-class whites, it's pretty winnable for him. https://t.co/QFFPODAQ3u — PolitiTweet.org

Right or wrong, there have been 5 ME-2 polls since mid-Summer... Average is Biden +1. I doubt it'll be the tipping… https://t.co/QfjTTiC4x1

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 2016, the Trump campaign did a much better job of allocating campaign resources to the right states. https://t.co/HxlrxrABmz Their strategy this year is bizarre, conversely, spending to defend states like GA and IA while Biden outspends them in the tipping-point states. — PolitiTweet.org

Fascinating detail on TV ad spending in battleground states (Aug 10-Sept 7): Florida: Biden $20.5 million; Trump $… https://t.co/pU8M8zUzKD

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated