Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 4, 2021

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Thu Sep 10 20:35:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias idk, I think there's been a fair bit of magical thinking in the notion that this trade-off is easy to avoid, at least until we get rapid, at-home testing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So much of US covid policy seems to be driven by trying to fulfill two somewhat incompatible mandates ("we can't let people get covid!" / "we can't keep society shut down!") rather than any acknowledgment of the trade-offs, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model's prior in ME-2 is pretty pro-Trump, but the polls are starting to move it to more of a toss-up. If Biden is improving relative to Clinton with older working-class whites, it's pretty winnable for him. https://t.co/QFFPODAQ3u — PolitiTweet.org

Right or wrong, there have been 5 ME-2 polls since mid-Summer... Average is Biden +1. I doubt it'll be the tipping… https://t.co/QfjTTiC4x1

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated