Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 20:14:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's winning 270 electoral votes there. But that assumes he wins NE-2 in that map (where he's been well ahead in D partisan polls but which hasn't had any nonpartisan polling) plus hold on in NV and NH, plus hope there are no faithless electors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you take the polls at face value right now—with Biden gaining/holding steady in AZ, WI, MI but losing ground in PA & FL, then Arizona is the tipping-point state right now, which could lead to the map shown here. This is a winning map for Biden, but it's precarious. https://t.co/bLTzvk2E3l — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Conversely, winning PA but losing WI would be a lot more robust, because that puts Biden at 280 EV with Arizona. He could lose any 2 out of 3 of the NH/NV/ME-2 group and still have enough electoral votes to win. https://t.co/98DDfDOx7w — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated