Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 19:37:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you look at this map, there's a lot of attendance from rural counties in the Upper Midwest/Great Plains/Rocky Mountains. These places generally hadn't been hit hard by COVID before and for various reasons may therefore be more prone to case growth now, especially on a % basis. https://t.co/su560n5OIk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think this Sturgis study deserves some skepticism. Another problem is that I'm not sure they're really adequately controlling for where the attendees are coming from, i.e. it may be that cases happen to be increasing in those areas, but not because of Sturgis. — PolitiTweet.org

Thread https://t.co/E71LTy06ty

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you take the polls at face value right now—with Biden gaining/holding steady in AZ, WI, MI but losing ground in PA & FL, then Arizona is the tipping-point state right now, which could lead to the map shown here. This is a winning map for Biden, but it's precarious. https://t.co/bLTzvk2E3l — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated