Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 18:51:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So FL is Biden's worst state in terms of the current polling trend, but TX and AZ (which are the most demographically similar to Florida on this list) are his best ones? He's losing ground in PA, OH and MI but gaining in WI and MN? A lot of this looks like noise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In order of worst to best for Biden: Florida -3.4 Pennsylvania -2.2 Ohio -1.4 Michigan -1.1 {{{National -0.9}}} North Carolina +0.4 Wisconsin +0.6 Minnesota +0.6 Texas +0.9 Arizona +0.9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think this Sturgis study deserves some skepticism. Another problem is that I'm not sure they're really adequately controlling for where the attendees are coming from, i.e. it may be that cases happen to be increasing in those areas, but not because of Sturgis. — PolitiTweet.org

Thread https://t.co/E71LTy06ty

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated