Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Sep 07 14:22:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, then he's liable to gain the most ground relative to Clinton in states that had lots of Obama-Trump voters, such as Wisconsin, Iowa and Maine. I'd say the polling mostly bears this out, though some of the states we'd want to look at haven't been polled much lately. https://t.co/Fjb2SPEgwt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways, the answer to "why is Biden polling so well in Wisconsin?" may be surprisingly simple. Let's say Biden is able to win back, I don't know... 40% of Obama-Trump voters. FWIW, that's about what it would take to get him to +7/8 nationally, assuming nothing else changes. — PolitiTweet.org

For all the focus on Wisconsin, Biden has been polling conspicuously well there as compared to the other swing stat… https://t.co/D5PU9UIImm

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The other issue with an obsessive focus on WI and MN is that they simply don't have very many electoral votes, only 10 each. — PolitiTweet.org

All together, the polls just don't really support that this is a great strategy for Trump. If it was, shouldn't thi… https://t.co/ROZEzfb9JA

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated