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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sun Sep 06 00:07:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@skepticalsports Yeah, I think these markets are dumber the bigger the event gets. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know how the contracts at these markets are written to account for cases where, say, Trump doesn't concede the election. Apart from something like that, it doesn't make any sense to have Biden in the 60s in the tipping-point states but only 53% to win nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think there's always a huge amount of info in how campaigns themselves assess the state of the race. But still, it's pretty remarkable if it's only Labor Day, and allies of Trump think there's "virtually no chance" he wins the popular vote. https://t.co/40JYaBl1Yk https://t.co/ZOHdXOzrfF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated