Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 25, 2021

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Fri Sep 04 18:35:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes Plausible! Also, TX and AZ will likely gain electoral votes in 2024, making this map slightly more robust. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 2018, Democrats underperformed their polls in parts of the Midwest (though not as badly as in 2016) and in Florida, but overperformed them in Texas and Arizona. If you had a version of that on steroids this year, you could wind up with that map. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JeremyKonyndyk @chrislhayes It is hard, which is why it's only a 2% chance, but TX is also a state that pollsters have had trouble with, tending to lowball Dems in recent elections. If there's a huge turnout that throws polls off, it's possible to imagine weird things happening that make TX more important. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 4, 2020 Hibernated