Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2021

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Thu Sep 03 18:27:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait 1) If the polls remain stable Biden's probability will improve, but not necessarily steadily; would be mostly concentrated in the final few weeks. 2) Biden's gradually been gaining over the past several days as it's become clear that Trump wasn't getting much of a bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the poll train is probably going to slow back down at this point. I'm sure there will be some odds and ends, but we're not aware of too much high-quality stuff that's imminent, and pollsters that missed this "round" will likely mostly wait until after Labor Day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait Basically, the model docked Biden a smidge when it looked like he wasn't getting much of a convention bounce, but now that Trump hasn't gotten much of one either, it's come full circle. The big sell-off in the stock market today also hurt Trump a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated