Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2021

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Thu Sep 03 17:19:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Focus groups are not good substitutes for polls, but I can imagine times when they provide useful *qualitative* insights. But it's not a coincidence that, in practice, they almost always wind up endorsing the prevailing media narrative about the race. Very easy to manipulate*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So... a Fox News poll of 800 people yesterday showed Biden doing quite well in Wisconsin post-Kenosha. Not sure, therefore, why a non-randomly selected focus group of 10 people (8 of whom voted for Trump last time!) is really newsworthy at all. https://t.co/ws088l2PhI https://t.co/Ejw60HNypl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Not necessarily in the sense of anything untoward, but in how you choose the group, how you pick the questions, how you steer the conversation, and how you summarize the results, there are basically infinite degrees of freedom to get the focus group to "say" whatever you want. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2020 Hibernated