Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 23, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 22:32:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And... Arizona's is now the tipping-point state in our polling average. Biden's lead there (+4.7) is slightly larger than in PA (+4.3) or FL(+4.1). WI (+6.9), MI (+6.5) and MN (+6.0) are polling ahead of the tipping point, NC (+1.6) behind it. https://t.co/nWUo9X5F4y https://t.co/T8qa9B28E8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are also registered-voter versions of the the Fox News polls that show about the same results, with Biden +10 in AZ, +4 in NC, +8 in WI. Not great for Trump since he might hope to gain from the likely-voter screen. Loosely speaking, means no enthusiasm gap after the RNC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden is up *8* points in a *Fox News* poll of *Wisconsin* conducted *immediately after the RNC* and prediction markets have the race as a toss-up. — PolitiTweet.org

I still have no idea what the heck the betting markets are/were doing.

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated