Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 23, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 22:09:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Arizona polls have become quite bifurcated, with a group of polls showing a toss-up and another group showing Biden ahead by margins ranging from 7-10, with little in between. Not always an easy state to poll. https://t.co/AniJJXutqh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

They're also likely voter polls with pretty decent sample sizes. I'd note that Fox has generally had good numbers for Biden this year, but these generally reflect some improvement for him. They previously had Biden +4 in AZ, +9 in WI and +2 in NC, all among *registered* voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are also registered-voter versions of the the Fox News polls that show about the same results, with Biden +10 in AZ, +4 in NC, +8 in WI. Not great for Trump since he might hope to gain from the likely-voter screen. Loosely speaking, means no enthusiasm gap after the RNC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated