Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 22, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 20:03:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

CNN just out with Biden +8, which gives us a pretty good consensus among live-caller telephone polls. https://t.co/dCuxoUFEQG IBD/TIPP: Biden +8 CNN: Biden +8 Quinnipiac: Biden +10 Suffolk: Biden +5/+7 (with/without third parties) Selzer & Co.: Biden +8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So right after an RNC that sorta-kinda-maybe tried to reach out beyond Trump's base, Trump pivots to a message that does GREAT among his white non-college base and HORRIBLY among everybody else, specifically including upscale white voters in the suburbs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The CNN and IBD/TIPP polls are among registered voters, others are likely voters. That makes about a 1-point difference this year, so our model treats them more like Biden +7. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated