Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 18, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 15:18:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

By comparison, he's at +6.2 in Wisconsin and +6.4 in Michigan. I keep waiting for these states to converge (if anything, you might expect PA to be better than WI for Biden) but it hasn't happened yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden now +4.2 in our Pennsylvania polling average, which is now the same as in Florida (+4.2). These are the most common tipping-point states. By comparison, he's at +7.1 in our national average, so we see the same 3-point gap as in 2016. https://t.co/wKbW02AGO5 https://t.co/pGUrl77ncQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Arizona also polling at Biden +4.0, so based on polling averages alone, it's basically in a 3-way tie with PA and FL for being the tipping-point state. That could potentially yield this map where Biden wins 270-268. https://t.co/pecIcXjioJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated