Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 17, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 15:06:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not so hot for Biden here, whose Pennsylvania numbers have been worse than you might have expected all year (WI and MI have often been better for him, by comparison). Monmouth's July numbers were an exception to that, but this poll isn't. — PolitiTweet.org

PENNSYLVANIA VOTER POLL: #GeneralElection matchup All registered voter: 49% @JoeBiden (53% in July) 45%… https://t.co/mANLBDkVRh

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, it's nearly impossible to imagine Trump having the discipline to do this, or taking any ownership over failures. But that doesn't mean the strategy he does choose—vaguely centered on protests/riots but with a million distractions every day—is therefore wise, somehow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Keep in mind that Monmouth uses pretty small samples (n=400) and they're also not afraid to publish numbers that can diverge from the consensus (i.e. no herding, which is great). So their numbers can bounce around more than most. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated