Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 13:06:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Morning Consult numbers (which showed the race tightening to +6 on the day after the RNC but since having reverted back to +8 or +9) is suggestive of that ^^^, although overall there isn't really precise enough data to tease it out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to get cute, you could argue the RNC—4 days of relatively focused messaging—helped Trump, but then we reverted back to the familiar, zany, news cycles led by the president's Twitter feed (Kenosha! Mini-strokes! "Rigged Election?!") and he stomped on his own bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Interestingly, Trump's approval rating is improving more than his horse-race numbers. It's now merely -7.1 in polls of likely/registered voters, essentially identical to his position in head-to-head polls against Biden. https://t.co/9cVjj8v9uN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated