Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 02 12:57:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What doesn't seem to be the case, though, is that either the RNC or the Portland/Kenosha news cycle was some type of turning point for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Electoral College component of this just can't be emphasized enough. If Trump's down 4-5 points in the tipping-point states, then just a *little* bit of tightening plus a small-ish polling error cold be enough to give him the win. That's where a lot of his 30% comes from. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to get cute, you could argue the RNC—4 days of relatively focused messaging—helped Trump, but then we reverted back to the familiar, zany, news cycles led by the president's Twitter feed (Kenosha! Mini-strokes! "Rigged Election?!") and he stomped on his own bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated