Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Mon Aug 31 22:28:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A bit weird. I'm not sure why you'd look at the *share* of infected cases among children as opposed to the *number* of cases. If e.g. you close bars and there's less adult transmission, the *share* of cases among children will go up but the *number* won't. https://t.co/fZeFPWsCku https://t.co/e4Uynap49Z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There were many, many arguments about exactly where to draw these thresholds and what words to use. Anything in the ~70% range tends to be pretty tricky to convey, I think. — PolitiTweet.org

fwiw: The language schema we settled on for the forecast is ... ≥98: Trump/Biden is VERY LIKELY to win the electi… https://t.co/00aQoLili1

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Separately, these charts would appear to show a spike in cases among children. But what this data actually shows is growth in the *cumulative* number of cases and not the number of *new* cases. That's counterintuitive, maybe even on the verge of misleading. https://t.co/2pRdHsKMjN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2020 Hibernated