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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Sun Aug 30 14:39:30 +0000 2020

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2,096

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In post-convention polling, YouGov and Morning Consult show slight gains for Trump. Ipsos/ABC did not release head-to-head numbers, but showed no change in views of Biden or Trump. The USC tracking poll so far shows Biden's lead GROWING post-RNC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It doesn't help that there hasn't been much polling lately, but there is a lot of "the pendulum is swinging away from Biden" speculation based on rather little actual evidence, most if it coming from the sorts of people from whom such speculation often proves to be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Lewis @mattklewis

It feels like the pendulum is swinging away from Biden—that he would have been better off if Election Day were in J… https://t.co/Q8gIqqoUNS

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We'd love to have more polling. But if you had to guess from the evidence we have so far, plus the mediocre ratings for the convention, you'd think we're looking at a modest bounce for Trump that may be detectable but is on the smaller side of convention bounces historically. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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