Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Thu Aug 27 13:59:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, some of the popularity boost for BLM in June may have reflected a reaction against Trump / negative partisanship. Voters give Trump TERRIBLE marks for his handling of race relations and people may flock to the opposite position of whatever he says on these issues. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

An alternative inference is that BLM popularity is waning *because Trump is saying less about it*. His Twitter feed has made few references to "BLM"/"Black Lives Matter" over the past 6-8 weeks, and he's also used terms like "rioting" and "looting" much less often than in June. https://t.co/n5m2D4EOt5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is relevant too. In Wisconsin, while there's been a big decline in support for BLM, evaluations of Trump's handling of the protests is just as bad as before. https://t.co/kb1tMrizOl — PolitiTweet.org

So for example, there's this very interesting finding in the last MU poll showing support for BLM plummeting in Wis… https://t.co/FngPajbHiU

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated