Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Aug 26 16:47:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Fundamentally, the "fundamentals" are improving for Trump. * The economy is getting better, although that could be threatened by Congressional inaction. * COVID cases are going down, although that could reverse itself at pretty much any time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I would [gasp] dare say the conventional wisdom is fairly well-calibrated with reality this time around. Our model gives Trump a 30% chance of winning—which is pretty decent, but still makes him a nontrivial underdog—and I'd say the campaign is largely being covered that way too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* The protests are getting less coverage than they were before, and public opinion about them is becoming less sympathetic. All of these are reasons to think the race could tighten. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated